My Prediction For the War with Iran
Paul Craig Roberts
President Trump, in an effort to rescue himself from a war that he began without adequate preparation, as he was warned to no avail by his hand-picked Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has propositioned Russian President Putin.
The deal Trump has offered is to free Russian oil from sanctions on the condition that Putin direct the released oil flows to Europe away from Asia. This achieves two goals for Trump. It lessens or removes the pressure on oil price and inflation from the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz, thus negating an Iranian advantage in the conflict, and it prevents China from replacing Iranian oil lost to blockage of the Strait and curtailment of shipping insurance. Little doubt that Russia’s incompetent central bank director is telling Putin to take the deal on the grounds that Russia needs the oil revenues to develop its economy.
In other words, if Putin will betray Russia’s Iranian and Chinese allies, Trump will remove sanctions on Russian oil.
Think about Trump’s proposal for a minute. What does it tell us about Trump’s opinion of Putin? It tells us that Trump thinks of Putin as a man devoid of integrity and strategic vision who would sell out his allies and his country itself.
I agree with Gilbert Doctorow that by accepting Trump’s call Putin revealed himself as a person of questionable character. Trump had a few days prior conducted a dishonorable sneak military attack on Iran. Putin should have refused the call.
If Putin aligns with Trump and Israel against Iran it means the end of BRICS and the New Chinese Silk Road and a cessation of Chinese trust in Russia.
John Helmer thinks it reflects badly on China that the country’s leadership is entering into trade negotiations with Trump soon after Trump has begun a war with Iran that has adverse impact on Chinese economic and military power. I agree.
So, both Russia and China have shown that the Israeli-American attack on an ally has given them no wakeup call and they are both content to continue with business as usual. I can’t help wondering if one motive for Trump’s attack on Iran was to create divisions between the three countries and to isolate them from one another.
As I have emphasized several times and again today on Rasheed Muhammad’s excellent program — https://www.youtube.com/live/K8AvMteLgiM — the Zionist agenda of Greater Israel means that the talk about mediating the Iranian conflict and restoring peace and stability to the Middle East is meaningless. Israel’s agenda is not consistent with peace and stability in the Middle East. Iran cannot be secure when Iran is in the way of Greater Israel.
The Iranian president still does not understand this and is making a fool of himself and his country by giving conditions for negotiations to end the war, but a more powerful figure, Ali Larijani, head of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, does understand. Larijani recently stated:
“Tonight, we received messages from U.S. President Donald Trump through the Omani mediator, asking us to negotiate a ceasefire. Our response is that we will not accept any negotiations as long as an entity called Israel exists.”
The Iranian Supreme Leader should say that Iran is willing to trade all nuclear ambitions for Israel’s renouncing of the Zionist agenda of Greater Israel. The only way the Middle East can contain both Iran and Israel is for Israel’s agenda of Greater Israel to be deep-sixed. The first quarter of the 21st century has witnessed Israel use American blood and money to clear the Muslim Middle East of obstacles to Greater Israel. “Seven countries in five years.” It has taken longer than five years, but Iran is the last big obstacle.
It looks as if Trump and Israel are going to lose the conventional war. Iran seems to have the larger stockpile of missiles and the determination and ability to stay the course. After having their children slaughtered by the Trump and Netanyahu war criminals, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard is unlikely to counsel negotiations or surrender.
Morgan Stanley, BlackRock and other major American financial institutions have already been forced to cap withdrawals from their funds. Unless Putin bails out Trump, the oil price will continue rising carrying inflation with it and driving down the stock market and employment. Washington has shown that it is Incapable of protecting the Gulf oil sheikdoms from which people are fleeing.
The US Navy which the White House Fool said would escort oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz has had to move out of Iranian missile range.
The war has spread to Saudi Arabia. Hezbollah is now attacking Israel. The Houthis may soon join in the attacks on Israel. The American Gulf bases seem to be indefensible. We don’t know the US casualties, but it is certainly more than Trump’s reassuring six.
Perhaps the Russian and Chinese leaderships will save the war for Israel and Trump by pressuring Iran into a ceasefire, thereby showing that both countries lack intelligent leadership.
There are no ground troops to send into Iran.
Trump and Netanyahu seem to have given up attacking Iran’s military capabilities and are focusing on bombing Iranian civilian residential areas, schools, and hospitals as Israel does to Gaza with Trump’s bombs. This cowardly way of fighting will only succeed in hardening the attitude of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard.
So, what is Trump to do now that in a midterm election year the fool has permitted Netanyahu to trap him into a longterm and apparently losing war. If Trump loses the midterm elections, he is likely to be impeached and removed from office. The only option left to Trump is to nuke Iran or have Netanyahu do it.
Thus the duplicity and lack of strategic vision of Putin and Xi will have let the nuke genie out of the bottle. Emboldened by the success of violence, Trump and the Zionists will turn on isolated Russia and China in pursuit of their hegemonic agendas. On March 11, Wang Yi, the Chinese foreign minister and Politburo member conveniently let Trump know that there is no Chinese-Russian alliance when he said that Chinese-Russian “bilateral ties are based on the principle of non-alliance, non-confrontation and not targeting any third party.” https://johnhelmer.net/iran-war-crack-up-china-declares-non-alliance-with-russia-kremlin-announces-no-terms-telephone-call-with-pezeshkian/
In other words, there is no common front against the hegemonic agendas of Washington and Israel and there will be no military aid to Iran. That is a big green light for Trump and Netanyahu.
Based on what we know at this time, the picture I have painted is a probable one.